Recent research by Zillow has shown rather dramatically that
now is a time to buy vs. paying to rent. Zillow created a new measure that they’ve
called the “breakeven horizon”, which purports to show how long you would have
to live in a place while renting before you would break even and start saving
money by having bought. Generally, with favorable mortgage rates and other
advantages of home ownership you will always reach a breakeven point and cross
over into saving money; however, in the past a price to rent ratio method was
used to calculate how long it would take to break even and the standard was 15
years.
With many people moving (or planning to move) more often
than that time horizon, it used to make sense to rent. Now many areas of the
country have seen purchase prices drop so dramatically and mortgage rates
remain so low, that the time horizon for that cross over into saving by buying
is much shorter. The Zillow people also created a new comparison method called
the breakeven horizon, whioch takes more factors into consideration. Click
here to read the Zillow article that explains this and shows some of the major
cities in the U.S. Interestingly the Detroit
area is rated at 1.7 years to break even. The Detroit number is so low because
of the dramatic fall in home prices in that market.
If you read through the material at Zillow the point really
is that the combination of low prices and great mortgage rates makes this a
very good time to buy vs. renting. Even if the breakeven horizon is 3-5 years,
it still makes sense. It also makes sense because we are at or near the bottom
of the market, so far as value drop is concerned. In our area we’ve actually
already started back (re-gaining some of the value lost to the recession), so
you’ve missed the bottom. So, the fact that values are on the rise again makes
the argument to buy even more compelling.
So, if you’ve been renting or considering renting, it might
be time to look at buying instead, assuming that you plan to stay in one place
for 3-5 years. Of course, if you just trashed your credit with a short sale, foreclosure
or bankruptcy, you’ll still need to me to recover from that and renting may be
your only option. If you’ve been rebuilding your credit for 3 years or more it
may be time to look at whether you can buy again. Give me a call. I’ll put you
in touch with some mortgage people who can evaluate your current qualification
to take advantage of the current rent vs. buy breakeven horizon.
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