Norman,
W Werner
248-763-2497
|
MI Monthly Market
Report - Nov 2012
October was the most active new purchase month
in
the past two years, giving some great momentum going
into the winter. With
inventories at 10-year lows and buyer
activity building, this should be a wild
winter for Buyers
chasing their perfect home. To give you a snapshot for the
cause of inventory decline, over the past 90 days sales were
up 22%. Meanwhile,
the number of new listings placed
on the market fell 6% compared to last year,
which
accelerated area appreciation rates.
Appreciation Momentum is growing |
|
2012
vs. 2011 % Change in Price per Square Foot
- SE
Michigan |
October |
18.30% |
|
September |
14.80% |
|
August |
12.80% |
|
These growth rates are a combination of fewer
lower-priced
homes for sale and a growing rate of appreciation. Separating
the
two is not an exact science, however it appears that at least
a third of the
growth rate (or 6%+-) is a true value increase.
Should I stay or should I go? A great song by
The Clash, but
with prices rising, also a good question for today's Sellers,
"Sell now or wait?" Since housing is not just about the financial
gain, the
answer depends as much on your personal housing
goals as timing the rate of
appreciation. However, if you are
looking to move up to a larger home, there is
no doubt you
should be looking now. The math is clearly in your
favor!
Should I Stay or Should I
Go?
Current Home
Value |
$100,000 |
|
Value in 2
Years |
$118,000 |
|
Gain by
Waiting |
$18,000 |
|
|
|
|
New Home Value
Today |
$170,000 |
|
New Home Value
in 2 Years |
$201,000 |
|
Gain by Buying
Now |
$31,000 |
|
|
|
|
Loss by
Waiting |
($13,000) |
|
Plus: Cost of
extra interest |
($18,000) |
|
Total Cost of
Waiting 2 Years |
($31,000) |
|
*assumes a 10 year holding period. For
simplicity, does not consider
closing costs or tax effects
Right now, a first-time buyer has all the best
pieces in
their favor to buy. Rising rental rates, low home prices
and low
interest rates make a once in a lifetime combination.
Those downsizing should
consider the future interest rate
increase, which makes a move today worthwhile.
A 1%
rise in interest rates will offset a 12% rise in appreciation.
We
anticipate strong appreciation over the next couple
of years, but not 12%.
Though, interest rates most certainly
will rise 1-2% in the coming years. Anyone
who is considering
selling in the next few years should be making plans now,
so
they can test the market in 2013.
In that vein, we have a great new market
update video for you
to use to get an overview of your local market area. It's
only
one-minute in length with great charts and a voiceover. Click to
See how it works! http://video-portal.sundaysky.com/realestateone
If you would like more information on the
market, like to list
your property, or want information on any property with any
broker, you may call or email at anytime.
Thank you,
Norman, W Werner Put my team to work for you P:
248-763-2497 normwerner@comcast.net http://www.normwerner.realestateone.com
My Other Web Sites:
http://www.movetomilford.com
http://www.themilfordteam.com
http://www.mishortsales.net
Also visit:
http://www.milfordhistory.org
|
|
No comments:
Post a Comment