The local
Michigan real estate market continues to follow the trends that were shown in
the charts below which were based upon Q4 data from 2012. As will most reports
that I get, whether local or from a national source. The data is always weeks
or months old. Still the data show trends that develop over time and don’t just
change overnight. Different areas of the Michigan market may be on different
points of the rend curve, but they are all basicallt following the same trends.
This chart
shows how the key supply and demand factors are influencing values. The purple
line is value per square foot, which shows an accelerating growth rate. This is
a direct result of both the accelerating decline in inventory (blue line) and
accelerating increase in home sales (red line).
Also adding fuel to the fire is a deceleration in new homes coming on
the market (green line).
It is
interesting to see how far we have moved in the market. The following charts trace the 4th quarter
activity at key dates in our market transition.
2004 was that last strong real estate year and one of the peak value
years. 2008 was the peak in terms of homes for sale, causing values to start to
decline. 2011 was the bottom in terms of home values. Last year showed the
value rise off the bottom.
So, we are
on a positive trend in every market, but we have q good ways to go to get back
the value lost in the recent recession. For many, who did not buy at the peak
or refinance and take out their equity, the quick run-up of prices has put them
back above water and able to look at getting on with their life plans.
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